India and Pakistan have always been on the cliff of a bloody political history with lots of deaths and massacres. Two nations have been waging wars against each other over the last few years and this has been a common trend from the time the two nations have been declared to be independent.
Most of the wars have been surrounded by the issue of Kashmir and recently, in 2019, India launched an attack on Pakistani terrorists as an act of counter-terrorism. The relations between the two nations have never been smooth and there were times when the struggle came close to a nuclear attack. The border truce which had been drawn in 2021 has brought the matter to an end, but the concern still remains. Will peace prevail? What are the circumstances prevailing in Pakistan at the moment? Let us get a view!
The Recent State Of Pakistan
In recent weeks, a tremendous amount of struggle has been seen in the Pakistani regions. The country is currently surrounded by political and economic crises which are harming the commons, civilians as well as authorities alike. The former Prime Minister, Imran Khan has been arrested based on the charges of corruption. The charges have blasted the nation into violent bits of riots. The country had already been suffering from a high range of inflation and dismal growth. There is a major chance of defaulting ever since the Prime Minister started to face confrontation with the army.
Given the military dominance of the army in Pakistan, the officials always have a higher say than the Prime Minister and Judiciary of the nation. As a result, their accusations about the ouster of Imran Khan have resulted in murder threats. This has thrown the nation into tumultuous waters. The real question is, however, will the affairs hurt the defence machinery of India?
Understanding The Dynamics
Michael Kugelman, the director for the South Asia Institute at the Wilson Centre think tank in Washington has mentioned that if Pakistan fails, the entire world has to look into the matter of saving itself. It should be seen that with the sinking of a single nation, the others, primarily India should not sink with it. When it is the matter of a neighbour who is also a rival, normal situations can be barely judged by simply calling it volatile. The rival nation suffering from political stress and large-scale unrest paired with the cohesiveness with the army can cause certain worries for India in general.
It is not probable that the churns of Pakistan’s decay will fall in India, but it has a slim possibility. This can be a major risk for India because to divert matters from the civilians, the army may provide vigour to the terrorist branches sitting on the border of the two nations.
Why Should India Be Worried?
Let us go through some of the prominent reasons why India should be worried.
- Cross-Border Activism: The army chief of Pakistan has already raised questions about the camps near Kashmir. This is done through understanding the signalling strength of Kashmir. The risk stands because, despite resource limitations, it is possible that the chief authorities might take decisions that will divert the nation from its actual issues. The breakdown of the ceasefire will not be a strategic threat to India but the ongoing tug of war between the nation and its standoff with China might prove to be harmful to the Indian subcontinent.
- Shutting Down the Internet: This is one of the classic moves which might be taken before breaking a ceasefire. Pakistan’s collapse had been indispensable, as described by the age-old politicians of the world and it might continue its messy journey into the future. The ideological and religious extremities between the two nations have reached a peak, thanks to the range of xenophobic politics carried around by certain parties in India.
Perhaps slowing down the measures of communication might be the right opportunity for launching a nuclear attack. The wait-and-watch approach of India might be reasonable at the moment but this might fall apart soon with greater desperation amongst the Pakistani Army Containment.
- Ruling Our Possibilities: It is not a possibility that Pakistan will not reach out to India in order to get through the terms of reconciliation. The other fact remains that Indian ruling governments will not be interested in those terms, being anti-Pakistan agendas are their prime reason for securing vote banks. A fresh crisis can only end in an attack against India.
It is to be seen that neither of the nations is in a particularly good state now. Although India might be on a better footing, the small strife inside the nation can turn out into something large, providing a zest for the militant groups operating within the nation. Only time will prove whether India will suffer from the backlashes of Pakistani issues or not.